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bounce ahead: night time sport | Picks & Props | edge analytics
Table of Contents
What you have to know for tonight’s NBA roster
Rely out Kerry: Kyrie Irving performed street video games solely however was unable to journey to Toronto on account of vaccine mandates in Canada. Cam Thomas scored greater than 20 factors six occasions in February, and it needs to be prolonged tonight.
Area ship: Garrison Mathews quietly averaged 11.7 factors per sport in February and crashed a number of occasions in 4 consecutive factors to shut out the month. His final match? 17 factors (in 26 minutes) with 4 3 factors in opposition to the identical staff the Clippers are dealing with tonight.
Stephen Causey: The Mavericks vehemently denied and doubled Stephen Curry in Sunday’s epic comeback, a method that noticed him go rapidly to the open bowlers. Minnesota used an identical strategy to James Harden final Friday, which resulted in 12 dimes. With Draymond Inexperienced and Klay Thompson sidelined for tonight’s sport in opposition to the Timberwolves, Curry’s help (7.5) seems to be achievable. The Warriors led 68 passes on Sunday – nicely above his season common of 49.6 and 27 extra passes than any teammate.
That is the underside line: With Kevin Porter Jr. doubts in tonight’s sport in opposition to the Clippers, Dennis Schroeder may shine because the staff’s primary vendor. He dealt with a triple-double on this flip in opposition to the Clippers on Saturday and has averaged 7.8 assists since becoming a member of Houston on the deadline.
subsequent man: With Norman Powell out, Terance Mann averaged 16 PPG, 7.5 RPG, 2.7 APG, 1.7 SPG and 33 MPG over a pattern of six video games. He has at the least one steal in 9 consecutive video games and a number of swipes in six of these. MAN – featured in solely 22% of the leagues – is an ideal broadcast choice for tonight’s sport in opposition to the Rockets.
Bogdan Balling: Bogdan Bogdanovic has been the primary statistical beneficiary of John Collins’ absence in Atlanta’s rotation over the previous 5 video games. He scored 28.2 mixed factors, rebounds, and assists throughout this time. With Collins listed as suspect on Tuesday night time, Bogdanovic may play an vital function in opposition to Boston tonight. – Jim McCormick and Kyle Sobey
night time sport
Line: Mavericks (-5.5)
cash line: Mavericks (-220), Lakers (+180)
Whole: 217 factors
Anticipated complete BPI: 220 factors
BPI % win: Mavericks (68.6%)
Key gamers excluded: Anthony Davis and Avery Bradley
NB: Everyone seems to be acquainted with the struggles in Los Angeles, however what in regards to the printing press that the Mavericks have been as much as recently? They’ve coated eight of their previous 9 video games, with fewer tickets cashed in six of these 9 video games.
Greatest wager: Luka Doncic Over 50.5 complete factors + assists + rebounds
Doncic averaged 34.7 PPG, 10.3 RPG, and eight.8 APG in February with a 42% utilization fee. He ought to thrive in opposition to the Lakers, who’ve struggled defensively in opposition to level guards all season. Doncic has averaged 25.0 factors, 9.3 assists and seven.0 rebounds in his previous three video games in opposition to the Lakers. – Eric Moody
Greatest wager: Mavericks -5.5.
The Lakers and the Mavericks at the moment are shifting in reverse instructions. The Mavs have gained seven of their final 9 video games, averaging a +7.7 level margin throughout that interval. The Lakers misplaced 5 of their six video games by a median margin of -7.5. The Lakers misplaced by 28 factors at residence on their final run, and will bounce, however ranges of play counsel the MAF ought to have the benefit tonight. – Andre Snellings
Smash the remainder of the board
Line: Processors (-3.5)
cash line: Wizards (-170), Pistons (+150)
Whole: 218 factors
Anticipated complete BPI: 219.5 factors
BPI % win: Witches (56.8%)
Key gamers excluded: christaps porsingis
NB: The Wizards could also be with out Bradley Beal and struggling to cowl the variations at residence (1-8-1 within the final 10), however 4 of their previous 5 video games in entrance of their residence crowd have handed the whole.
Greatest wager: Kyle Kuzma Over 35.5 complete factors + assists + rebounds
Kuzma scored 30 or extra factors in his final two matches. It averaged 21 PPG, 8.8 RPG, and 4.3 APG per sport in February, with a utilization fee of 27.2%. Pistons are ranked twenty fifth in factors allowed per 100 possessions whereas giving up a excessive proportion of opponents’ offensive rebounds. — Moody
Line: Celtics (-6.5)
cash line: Celtics (-265), Hawks (+215)
Whole: 223.5 factors
Anticipated complete BPI: 219 factors
BPI % win: Celtics (70.7%)
Key gamers excluded: nobody
NB: The NBA is a operating sport and the Falcons are in a single sport. They’ve seen 5 consecutive video games break the whole, and this comes on the heels of an 11-game stretch that noticed 9 of 11 video games performed in Atlanta.
Greatest wager: Jason Tatum 38.5+ complete factors + assists + rebounds
Tatum has averaged 30.7 factors, 8.3 rebounds, and 4.0 assists in three video games in opposition to the Hawks this season. The Falcons are ranked twenty fourth in factors allowed per possession, enable a excessive proportion of efficient subject objectives and do not result in a roundabout. Tatum is able to have a giant sport on Tuesday night time. — Moody
Line: Raptors (-8.5)
cash line: Raptors (-365), Nets (+280)
Whole: 219 factors
Anticipated complete BPI: 218.5 factors
BPI % win: Raptors (73.2%)
Key gamers excluded: Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving, Ben Simmons, and Anonobi
NB: It is a rematch final night time, however this time north of the border and that is vital. The nets have coated three straight factors on the street and have seen greater than that in every of their previous 5 away matches.
DFS worth: Pascal Siakam ($8,300 on FD, $8,900 on DK)
Siakam has averaged 21 PPG, 9.0 RPG and 5.3 APG during the last 15 video games whereas taking part in 37.4 MPG this season. Nets are close to the underside of the league by way of protection, permitting 113.4 factors per 100 possessions and a lot of offensive rebounds. You’ll be able to construct a robust DFS lineup round Siakam. — Moody
Line: Warriors (-1)
cash line: Timberwolves (-110), Warriors (-110)
Whole: 231 factors
Anticipated complete BPI: 235.5 factors
BPI % win: Timberwolves (50%)
Key gamers excluded: Draymond Inexperienced, Clay Thompson
NB: The Warriors opened February by overlaying canines 6.5 factors in San Antonio, however they solely managed to cowl one for the remainder of the month.
Greatest wager: Stephen Curry Over 39.5 Whole Factors + Assists + Rebounds
Curry averaged 24 PPG, 7.7 APG, and 4.2 RPG in February. The Timberwolves are the worst staff within the league with regards to defensive rebounds and the Curry and the Warriors ought to be capable to benefit from their additional shot makes an attempt. — Moody
Greatest wager: beneath 231 factors
The Timberwolves Dwelling/Highway objectives cut up has been one of the foolproof bets in sports activities over the previous month. Minnesota and their opponents have mixed to attain greater than 244 PPG on the street of their final 15 video games on the street, however at residence, each groups have mixed to common about 25 PPG much less. This sport is in Minnesota, the place these two groups collected 218 factors the final time they confronted off. – loud night breathing
Line: Clippers (-7)
cash line: Clippers (-290), Missiles (+230)
Whole: 229.5 factors
Anticipated complete BPI: 219.5 factors
BPI % win: Clippers (60.5%)
Key gamers excluded: nobody
NB: The Clippers didn’t cowl Sunday on this 99-98 win over the Rockets, however they coated every of the earlier 5 video games. It’s price noting that Sunday’s sport was fourth in six matches with the Clippers (proper after 8-1-1 for possibilities).
Greatest wager: Ivica Zubak Over 23.5 complete factors + assists + rebounds
The Facilities have been successful in opposition to the Rockets this season, averaging 25.7 PPG, 15.7 RPG, and three.6 APG. Zubac will be set for an excellent match. He averaged 13.5 factors, 12.5 rebounds, and three.0 blocks within the earlier two video games in opposition to the Rockets. — Moody
Analytics Edge
Highest predicted BPI totals
1. Golden State Warriors (117.7 factors)
2- Minnesota Timberwolves (117.7 factors)
3- Toronto Raptors (112.7 factors)
Lowest anticipated totals BPI
1- Brooklyn Nets (105.8 factors)
2. Atlanta Hawks (106.5 factors)
3. Los Angeles Lakers (107.1 factors)
Highest likelihood of successful BPI (Direct)
1. Toronto Raptors (73.2%)
2- Boston Celtics (70.7%)
3- Dallas Mavericks (68.6%)