The ESPN Fantasy Betting Cheat Sheet is your introductory vacation spot for the most effective data and information that can assist you make sensible betting and fantasy selections. NBA sport odds are supplied by Caesars Sportsbook, and the fantasy ideas are primarily based on ESPN’s 10-team leagues.
leap ahead: night time sport | Picks & Props | edge analytics
Written by Jim McCormick and Kyle Sobey
attraction man: Jalen Suggs will miss his fourth sport in a row with an ankle damage, and whereas Cole Anthony ($6,300 in DraftKings) hasn’t actually capitalized on the rookie’s absence, there are some tendencies to love. Prior to now three video games, Orlando’s tempo is up 2.6% from the earlier month and Anthony’s use per minute has been enticing (per 36 minutes: 13.8 pictures, 6.3 free throws, 8.8 assists). The Warriors enable 35% factors by means of 3, one of many high 10 within the NBA, so in the event you’re on the lookout for a less expensive DFS sport, checklist Anthony for a spot the place the backcountry might need to do the powerful jobs. Increase is logical.
Get Gallo: The Hawks will probably not have John Collins within the squad for the rest of the common season because of damage. Bogdan Bogdanovic has been listed as questionable to compete in tonight’s sport with the Knicks at Madison Sq. Backyard. With Collins out and Bogdanovic in poor health, Danilo Galinari (95% out there) enters this assembly together with his former crew with some actual momentum. He performed 71 minutes and scored 38 factors in his final two matches.
Paul’s social gathering: Jordan Ball (18% out there) might be assigned further roles within the play business and recording with Stephen Curry. The third-year guard responded by averaging 28.5 factors over the past two video games since Curry’s damage. With the Magic lacking Suggs, the defender as their most definitely attacking level, Paul is able to excel towards an Orlando crew that allowed almost 50 Draft Kings factors per sport to direct the guards.
Excessive in Hyland: Previous to the current loss to Boston, Denvers Bones Hyland (91% out there) averaged 30.1 minutes, 18.3 factors, 4.7 assists, and three three-pointers over his previous three video games. He’ll probably flirt with one other half-hour to tilt house tonight towards the Clippers who drop a number of key defenders on the wing. Hyland is a robust goal for livestreams and DFS throughout the gentle foursome’s roster.
Table of Contents
night time sport
Line: Nuggets (-6.5)
cash line: Nuggets (-260), clippers (+210)
Whole: 223.0 factors
Anticipated complete BPI: 212 factors
BPI % win: Nuggets (78.7%)
Key gamers excluded: nobody
NB: Under 9-3 in Denver’s previous 12 video games they have been driving a four-game ATS collection and not using a win
Fantasy streamer: Aaron Gordon. In his final two video games, Gordon averaged 16.5 PPG, 6.0 RPG, and a pair of.5 APG. Nikola Jokic is the one participant to have a better common PPG on this time-frame. Gordon is accessible on 50% of ESPN consortia. Within the 10 video games to date in March, it averaged 13.2 PPG, 4.7 RPG and a pair of.1 APG at 29.3 mpg. – Eric Moody
Finest Guess: Lower than 223 factors. The highlights check with Denver’s current historical past with the Meltdown, however the Clippers and their opponents additionally mixed to common simply 214.4 PPG of their final eight video games whereas he is been beneath 223 six instances. The BPI drop is a full 11 pips beneath the 223 pips line. – Andre Snellings
Smash the remainder of the board
Line: Warriors (-8)
cash line: Warriors (-360), Magic (+285)
Whole: 216.5 factors
Anticipated complete BPI: 218 factors
BPI % win: Warriors (61.6%)
Key gamers excluded: Stephen Curry
Uncertain: Musa Moody (shoulder)
NB: We have seen the knockout in 5 of the previous six Warrior video games, a streak that comes proper after tickets cashed out in 9 of Golden State’s 10 video games.
Fantasy streamer: RJ Hampton. Hampton (99.5% out there) has one other spot begin with Suggs. He has averaged 7.3 PPG, 3.0 RPG, and a pair of.7 APG over the previous three video games in addition to 14 factors, 5.6 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per 40 minutes.
Line: hawks (-1.5)
cash line: Hawks (-125), Knicks (+105)
Whole: 226 factors
Anticipated complete BPI: 218.5 factors
BPI % win: Nix (54.1%)
Key gamers excluded: Julius Rundle, John Collins, Lou Williams, Bogdan Bogdanovich
NB: The Hawks are solely 1-8 ATS over the previous 9, with tickets for fewer than six of these competitions.
Fantasy Streamer: De Andre Hunter. Hunter continues to be out there in 83% of ESPN consortia, which I discover stunning. In his final 4 matches, he has averaged 16.5 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 1.5 APG, 1.3 SPG and 1.0 BPG. Hunter will see heavy use with John Collins out. — Moody
Finest Guess: RJ Barrett over 26.5 factors; Knicks (+1.5). It is a revenge sport for the Knicks, in the event you keep in mind that Trae Younger was making enjoyable of the Knicks followers within the final post-MSG season. The Knicks would like to maintain the Hawks within the tenth seed within the East. New York has gained 5 of the final quarter-finals and performs with none stress till the top of the season. They’ve 12 greatest defenses, and a median of 113 PPGs once they encounter poor protection – which Atlanta does (4th within the NBA). The Hawks cope with accidents whereas Collins and Lou Williams exit, and Younger is crushed. With Julius Randle out, RJ Barrett will carry a heavy burden. He is averaged 24 PPGs this season, however he’ll have extra taking pictures possibilities with Randle out. Obi Toppin might be getting his sturdy minutes tonight, too. – Anita Marks
Line: Bucks (-6)
cash line: Bucks (-250), bulls (+205)
Whole: 231.5 factors
Anticipated complete BPI: 231 factors
BPI % win: {dollars} (74.8%)
Key gamers excluded: khris middleton
NB: 9 of PAC’s previous 12 video games in Milwaukee have exceeded the full.
streamer: Grayson Allen (92.3% out there) Ought to be certainly one of Bucks’ primary scoring choices tonight with Middleton out. Within the 11 video games Allen has performed this season with out Middleton, he has averaged 17.5 PPG, 4.3 3PG, 3.6 RPG and 1.0 SPG.
Finest Guess: Zach LaVine Over 23.5 Factors. LaVine has scored 24 or extra factors in six of its final seven video games, save for a lone in a 27-point loss at Phoenix. He is on the second night time of a back-to-back sport and for some time wasn’t taking part in each B2B halves because of his knee points, however he did play within the Bulls’ final B2B set earlier this month, which by likelihood noticed them for bucks, and Lavigne slipped 30 factors in 38 minutes.
Analytics Edge
Highest predicted BPI totals
1. Milwaukee Bucks (119.1 factors)
2- Golden State Warriors (110.8 factors)
3. Denver Nuggets (110.2 factors)
Lowest anticipated totals BPI
1- Los Angeles Clippers (101.8 factors)
2- Orlando Magic (107.5 factors)
3- Atlanta Hawks (108.7 factors)
Highest chance of profitable BPI (Direct)
1. Denver Nuggets (78.7%)
2- Milwaukee Bucks (74.8%)
3 – Golden State Warriors (61.6%)
